Model Predictions
| Model | Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | Abilene Christian Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 86.3% | 13.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 78.2% | 21.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 82.6% | 17.4% | -8.6 | ✓ (1.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 63.4% | 36.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 88.3% | 11.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 88.4% | 11.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 67.5% | 32.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Abilene Christian Wildcats -10 (66-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevon Harris * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 29 | - |
| T.J. Holyfield * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 17 | - |
| Ivan Canete * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 26 | - |
| L. Gilmore III * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 22 | - |
| Aaron Augustin * | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Shannon Bogues | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| John Comeaux | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Ty Charles | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Samuli Nieminen | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Nathan Bain | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Abilene Christian Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaren Lewis * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 24 | - |
| Jalone Friday * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 15 | - |
| Tevin Foster * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 18 | - |
| Jaylen Franklin * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Payten Ricks * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Drake Green | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Isaiah Tripp | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Hayden Farquhar | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Hayden Howell | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter