Model Predictions
| Model | Central Arkansas Bears | Lamar Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.9% | 73.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.4% | 63.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 34.5% | 65.5% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 31.0% | 69.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 30.7% | 69.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.6% | 65.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Lamar Cardinals -9 (91-100). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Central Arkansas Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Howard * | 45 | 9-25 | 3-10 | 6-6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 6 | - |
| DeAndre Jones * | 42 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 11 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 25 | - |
| Thatch Unruh * | 39 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Mathieu Kamba * | 38 | 6-13 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Hayden Koval * | 30 | 5-9 | 3-6 | 5-10 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 16 | - |
| Matthew Mondesir | 19 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Tanner Schmit | 18 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Aaron Weidenaar | 12 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Darraja Parnell | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Lamar Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colton Weisbrod * | 50 | 11-17 | 0-1 | 16-22 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 38 | 34 | - |
| Zjori Bosha * | 49 | 4-12 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Torey Noel * | 27 | 5-8 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Josh Nzeakor * | 16 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| James Harrison * | 15 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Nick Garth | 32 | 3-18 | 0-9 | 3-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | -4 | - |
| Joey Frenchwood | 29 | 2-9 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Jordan Foster | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Avery Sullivan | 13 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T.J. Atwood | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter