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2017-11-24

Model Predictions

Model Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders UTSA Roadrunners Spread Result
Elo 16.5% 83.5% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 19.4% 80.6% - โœ“
Margin 9.2% 90.8% +12.6 โœ“ (1.4 off)
Pythagorean 33.5% 66.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 6.6% 93.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 6.5% 93.5% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 25.5% 74.5% - โœ“

Actual: UTSA Roadrunners +14 (72-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Joe Kilgore * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 1 2 0 4 18 24 -
Kareem South * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 3 1 0 0 11 20 -
Sean Rhea * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 2 0 7 10 8 -
Elijah Schmidt * 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 2 0 1 -
Kyle Brown * 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 1 0 0 2 5 -
Emmanuel Toney 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 1 4 11 10 -
York Benjamin 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 4 0 -1 -
Colin Hale 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 1 1 -
Perry Francois 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 4 6 -
Tre Gray 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Jamell Bradley 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 1 1 -

UTSA Roadrunners

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Byron Frohnen * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 3 1 0 4 4 13 -
Giovanni De Nicolao * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 7 1 0 3 2 10 -
Keaton Wallace * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 3 0 4 14 16 -
Austin Karrer * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 2 0 0 9 14 -
Nick Allen * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 0 3 10 14 -
George Willborn 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 3 0 2 12 16 -
Kendell Ramlal 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 3 1 11 19 -
Mitar Stanojevic 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 1 0 -
Jhivvan Jackson 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 7 7 -
Toby Van Ry 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 1 2 2 6 -
Deon Lyle 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -

* = starter