Model Predictions
| Model | Central Arkansas Bears | Baylor Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.6% | 90.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 20.5% | 79.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.4% | 97.6% | +20.3 | ✓ (20.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.8% | 61.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 15.5% | 84.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Baylor Bears +41 (107-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Central Arkansas Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Howard * | 32 | 7-15 | 3-6 | 5-6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 11 | - |
| Hayden Koval * | 21 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Mathieu Kamba * | 21 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Thatch Unruh * | 17 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Ethan Lee * | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Tanner Schmit | 16 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Deandre Jones | 16 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Darraja Parnell | 16 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Otas Iyekekpolor | 15 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Matthew Mondesir | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Aaron Weidenaar | 9 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Jared Chatham | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Tyler Simmons | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jordan Grant | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Baylor Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manu Lecomte * | 29 | 6-10 | 6-8 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 15 | - |
| J. Lual-Acuil Jr. * | 28 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Tristan Clark * | 27 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Nuni Omot * | 26 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 6-7 | 6 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 23 | - |
| King McClure * | 24 | 5-8 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Jake Lindsey | 23 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - |
| T.J. Maston | 20 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Mark Vital | 20 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Jonathan Davis | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
* = starter