Model Predictions
| Model | VMI Keydets | Mercer Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.7% | 89.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.2% | 83.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 4.0% | 96.0% | +17.5 | ✓ (6.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 15.3% | 84.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.3% | 98.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.3% | 98.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 17.6% | 82.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mercer Bears +24 (82-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
VMI Keydets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Vereen * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 21 | - |
| Keith Smith * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Garrett Gilkeson * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Tyler Creammer * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Jordan Ratliffe | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Fred Iruafemi | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Greg Parham | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Myles Lewis | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Will Miller | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
Mercer Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Demetre Rivers * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 23 | - |
| Jordan Strawberry * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 23 | - |
| Ross Cummings * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 17 | - |
| Stephon Jelks * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 18 | - |
| Desmond Ringer * | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Jaylen Stowe | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 14 | - |
| Cory Kilby | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 15 | - |
| Ryan Johnson | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Marcus Cohen | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Ethan Stair | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Mac Brydon | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter