Model Predictions
| Model | The Citadel Bulldogs | Mercer Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.9% | 86.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 18.9% | 81.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 5.4% | 94.6% | +15.8 | ✗ (17.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 20.9% | 79.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 6.3% | 93.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 6.2% | 93.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 19.8% | 80.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Mercer Bears -2 (74-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
The Citadel Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zane Najdawi * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Matt Frierson * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 21 | - |
| Frankie Johnson * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 21 | - |
| Leandro Allende * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Alex Reed * | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Kaelon Harris | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 23 | - |
| Quayson Williams | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 16 | - |
| Rob Johnson | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Hayden Brown | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Tariq Simmons | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
Mercer Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephon Jelks * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 16 | - |
| Jordan Strawberry * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 29 | - |
| Desmond Ringer * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 17 | - |
| Demetre Rivers * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Marcus Cohen * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 15 | - |
| Ross Cummings | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 18 | - |
| Ethan Stair | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Cory Kilby | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jaylen Stowe | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
* = starter