Model Predictions
| Model | Western Carolina Catamounts | Samford Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.4% | 68.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.8% | 45.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 38.5% | 61.5% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 33.3% | 66.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 38.7% | 61.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 38.5% | 61.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.2% | 61.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Samford Bulldogs +14 (85-71). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Western Carolina Catamounts
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deriece Parks * | 32 | 3-13 | 2-11 | 1-2 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 8 | -11.5 |
| Matt Halvorsen * | 29 | 6-15 | 6-14 | 3-3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 7 | -9.6 |
| Mike Amius * | 29 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 6 | -10.6 |
| Marc Gosselin * | 20 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 1 | -10.7 |
| Desmond Johnson * | 20 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -8.5 |
| Maurice Smith | 16 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | +1.8 |
| Devin Peterson | 15 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | +2.9 |
| Onno Steger | 13 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | +11.9 |
| Haboubacar Mutombo | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | +5.3 |
| Marcus Thomas | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -4.5 |
| Charlendez Brooks | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2.6 |
| Ashley Williams | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +1.4 |
| Adam Sledd | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3.3 |
| Jason McMillan | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +1.5 |
| Devonte Fuller | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
| Yalim Olcay | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
Samford Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Coleman * | 36 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 6 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 15 | +6.7 |
| Demetrius Denzel-Dyson * | 34 | 6-11 | 4-7 | 5-6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 11 | -0.9 |
| Alex Thompson * | 31 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 12 | +7.4 |
| Triston Chambers * | 24 | 5-7 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 7 | +3.9 |
| Eric Adams * | 22 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 15 | +0.0 |
| Josh Sharkey | 21 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 9 | +2.1 |
| Stefan Lakic | 13 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | -6.2 |
| Alex Peters | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | +0.5 |
| Kevion Nolan | 9 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -0.8 |
* = starter