Model Predictions
| Model | Mercer Bears | Furman Paladins | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.0% | 76.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.3% | 63.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 45.2% | 54.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 45.2% | 54.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.5% | 58.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Furman Paladins +3 (74-71). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Mercer Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ria'n Holland * | 39 | 4-13 | 0-6 | 3-4 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 6 | -3.0 |
| Demetre Rivers * | 38 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 14 | -3.8 |
| Desmond Ringer * | 30 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 8-8 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 19 | +0.9 |
| Stephon Jelks * | 29 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | +2.2 |
| Jordan Strawberry * | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.2 |
| Marcus Cohen | 19 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 3 | -11.4 |
| Ethan Stair | 15 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | +8.2 |
| Cory Kilby | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -4.5 |
| Jaylen Stowe | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -4.5 |
| Ross Cummings | 6 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +0.0 |
Furman Paladins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Fowler * | 34 | 6-11 | 3-7 | 6-6 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 19 | +4.5 |
| John Davis III * | 33 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | +2.8 |
| Devin Sibley * | 31 | 5-11 | 1-6 | 0-6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 0 | +10.9 |
| Matt Rafferty * | 30 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 17 | -1.8 |
| Andrew Brown * | 25 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -4.6 |
| Jordan Lyons | 17 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 7 | -3.6 |
| Geoff Beans | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | +4.1 |
| Alex Hunter | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +3.3 |
| Clay Mounce | 7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | +2.4 |
| Jalen Williams | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +2.1 |
* = starter