Model Predictions
| Model | The Citadel Bulldogs | Furman Paladins | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 5.6% | 94.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 17.6% | 82.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 11.4% | 88.6% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 17.4% | 82.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 3.6% | 96.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 3.6% | 96.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 11.3% | 88.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Furman Paladins +40 (107-67). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
The Citadel Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frankie Johnson * | 19 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | -12.0 |
| Hayden Brown * | 18 | 3-10 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 3 | -7.5 |
| Alex Reed * | 16 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | -13.3 |
| Tariq Simmons * | 11 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | +3.3 |
| Zane Najdawi * | 11 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | -6.3 |
| Kaelon Harris | 22 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 14 | -12.1 |
| Matt Frierson | 22 | 2-8 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | -12.2 |
| Quayson Williams | 21 | 5-8 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 15 | 8 | -2.5 |
| Leandro Allende | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -2.0 |
| Kaiden Rice | 18 | 3-10 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | -1 | -11.6 |
| Rob Johnson | 12 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Derek Webster Jr. | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -11.9 |
Furman Paladins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Sibley * | 23 | 10-16 | 4-6 | 2-5 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 26 | 20 | +8.7 |
| John Davis III * | 23 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | +22.8 |
| Andrew Brown * | 22 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 12 | +17.8 |
| Daniel Fowler * | 22 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 10 | +22.8 |
| Matt Rafferty * | 21 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 23 | +3.0 |
| Jordan Lyons | 18 | 5-10 | 5-10 | 5-5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 14 | +5.3 |
| Jonathan Jean | 15 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | +1.9 |
| Geoff Beans | 15 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | +10.3 |
| Alex Hunter | 15 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | -3.9 |
| Clay Mounce | 12 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -1.1 |
| Jalen Williams | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2.9 |
| Brady Schuck | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -1.6 |
| Seve Stavroff | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter