Model Predictions
| Model | Western Carolina Catamounts | Chattanooga Mocs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.4% | 63.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.0% | 64.0% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 28.2% | 71.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 32.4% | 67.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 32.3% | 67.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.8% | 65.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Chattanooga Mocs -12 (63-75). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Western Carolina Catamounts
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deriece Parks * | 34 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 11 | +9.6 |
| Mike Amius * | 30 | 12-16 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 27 | 21 | +14.0 |
| Desmond Johnson * | 26 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 6 | +11.6 |
| Matt Halvorsen * | 25 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | +17.1 |
| Marc Gosselin * | 22 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | +6.6 |
| Maurice Smith | 19 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | +5.6 |
| Devin Peterson | 16 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | -1.1 |
| Haboubacar Mutombo | 13 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | +2.5 |
| Onno Steger | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +3.6 |
| Charlendez Brooks | 5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.3 |
| Adam Sledd | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +2.5 |
| Yalim Olcay | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -0.7 |
Chattanooga Mocs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Makale Foreman * | 39 | 2-9 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Rodney Chatman * | 38 | 7-11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 10 | -11.5 |
| Nat Dixon * | 37 | 4-8 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | -19.1 |
| Makinde London * | 33 | 9-16 | 2-8 | 2-5 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 19 | -11.1 |
| Joshua Phillips * | 19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | -11.1 |
| David Jean-Baptiste | 24 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -3.8 |
| Jonathan Bryant II | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| A.J. Bowers | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter