Model Predictions
| Model | East Tennessee State Buccaneers | Mercer Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.9% | 37.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.0% | 40.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 55.7% | 44.3% | -1.3 | ✓ (17.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.5% | 46.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 68.5% | 31.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 68.5% | 31.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.5% | 47.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mercer Bears -19 (55-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
East Tennessee State Buccaneers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Desonta Bradford * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 15 | - |
| Jalan McCloud * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 29 | - |
| Peter Jurkin * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 17 | - |
| David Burrell * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 15 | - |
| Jermaine Long * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Bo Hodges | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 19 | - |
| Devontavius Payne | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Mladen Armus | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Jason Williams | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Kanayo Obi-Rapu | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Mercer Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Demetre Rivers * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Desmond Ringer * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 21 | - |
| Stephon Jelks * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 13 | - |
| Jordan Strawberry * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Cory Kilby | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Marcus Cohen | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Jaylen Stowe | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Ryan Johnson | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Ross Cummings | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
* = starter