Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Kentucky Norse | East Tennessee State Buccaneers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.8% | 75.2% | +6.5 | ✓ (6.5 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.2% | 64.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 41.5% | 58.5% | +1.9 | ✓ (11.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.5% | 46.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 53.7% | 46.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: East Tennessee State Buccaneers +13 (84-71). Ratings: 2017-18 season-end ratings.
Northern Kentucky Norse
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carson Williams * | 33 | 10-13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 12 | - |
| Lavone Holland II * | 31 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Jordan Garnett * | 31 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Jalen Tate * | 22 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Drew McDonald * | 20 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Mason Faulkner | 23 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Dantez Walton | 16 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Jeff Garrett | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Tre Cobbs | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Tyler Sharpe | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Chris Vogt | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
East Tennessee State Buccaneers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Desonta Bradford * | 31 | 4-10 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Jermaine Long * | 23 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Jalan McCloud * | 22 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Peter Jurkin * | 21 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 15 | - |
| David Burrell * | 14 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Bo Hodges | 29 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Devontavius Payne | 28 | 7-11 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Mladen Armus | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Jason Williams | 8 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Kanayo Obi-Rapu | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter