Model Predictions
| Model | Troy Trojans | East Tennessee State Buccaneers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.4% | 76.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 19.9% | 80.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 19.4% | 80.6% | +7.8 | ✗ (15.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.1% | 62.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 20.3% | 79.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 20.2% | 79.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.9% | 67.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: East Tennessee State Buccaneers -8 (65-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Troy Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Baker * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Jordon Varnado * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 23 | - |
| Wesley Person * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 27 | - |
| Alex Hicks * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 18 | - |
| Shawn Hopkins * | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| B.J. Miller | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 11 | - |
| Juan Davis | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 16 | - |
| Darian Adams | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Javan Johnson | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Malik Burnett | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1 | - |
East Tennessee State Buccaneers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Desonta Bradford * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 19 | - |
| David Burrell * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 20 | - |
| Peter Jurkin * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Devontavius Payne * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Jermaine Long * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | - |
| Jalan McCloud | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Mladen Armus | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Kanayo Obi-Rapu | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Bo Hodges | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Jason Williams | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
* = starter