Model Predictions
| Model | DePaul Blue Demons | St. John's Red Storm | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.8% | 85.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.7% | 77.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 28.6% | 71.4% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 44.3% | 55.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 20.3% | 79.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 20.4% | 79.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.4% | 70.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: St. John's Red Storm -17 (74-91). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
DePaul Blue Demons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tre'Darius McCallum * | 38 | 7-14 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 13 | +14.9 |
| Max Strus * | 38 | 7-17 | 3-6 | 5-8 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 14 | +15.0 |
| Elijah Cain * | 38 | 4-10 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 6 | +17.9 |
| Marin Maric * | 34 | 7-8 | 2-2 | 9-10 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 33 | +20.1 |
| Brandon Cyrus * | 24 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | +11.6 |
| Justin Roberts | 17 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | +9.3 |
| Jaylen Butz | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -0.4 |
| Austin Grandstaff | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -1.0 |
| Paul Reed | 2 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +2.9 |
St. John's Red Storm
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shamorie Ponds * | 38 | 7-24 | 1-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | -1 | -15.6 |
| Marvin Clark II * | 37 | 4-11 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | -16.2 |
| Justin Simon * | 35 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 8 | -15.4 |
| Tariq Owens * | 32 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | -11.1 |
| Bashir Ahmed * | 30 | 7-14 | 3-7 | 4-6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 15 | -13.5 |
| Kassoum Yakwe | 16 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 11 | -3.3 |
| Amar Alibegovic | 10 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | -3.1 |
| Bryan Trimble Jr. | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.0 |
* = starter