Model Predictions
| Model | Butler Bulldogs | Xavier Musketeers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.5% | 60.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.8% | 64.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.5% | 76.5% | +6.5 | ✓ (0.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.6% | 66.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 11.4% | 88.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 19.7% | 80.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 19.7% | 80.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Xavier Musketeers +7 (86-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Butler Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Baldwin * | 37 | 11-24 | 2-7 | 4-5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 28 | 12 | - |
| K. Martin * | 36 | 11-26 | 2-10 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 5 | - |
| P. Jorgensen * | 31 | 4-11 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| A. Thompson * | 21 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | - |
| T. Wideman * | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| N. Fowler | 25 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | - |
| S. McDermott | 25 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 13 | - |
| H. Baddley | 10 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| J. Brunk | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Xavier Musketeers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Bluiett * | 35 | 6-15 | 2-4 | 7-8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 12 | - |
| J.P. Macura * | 33 | 6-12 | 4-8 | 4-6 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 13 | - |
| Q. Goodin * | 28 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 14 | - |
| K. Gates * | 26 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 5-6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| T. Jones * | 19 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | - |
| S. O'Mara | 20 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 15 | - |
| N. Marshall | 19 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 2-5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9 | - |
| P. Scruggs | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| K. Kanter | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter