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2017-12-20

Model Predictions

Model St. John's Red Storm Saint Joseph's Hawks Spread Result
Elo 39.2% 60.8% - βœ—
Bradley-Terry 55.3% 44.7% - βœ“
Margin 62.7% 37.3% -2.9 βœ“ (1.1 off)
Pythagorean 42.8% 57.2% - βœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 71.6% 28.4% - βœ“
Log Adjusted 71.9% 28.1% - βœ“
Points Off/Def 54.7% 45.3% - βœ“

Actual: Saint Joseph's Hawks -4 (73-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

St. John's Red Storm

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Ponds * 40 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 4 2 1 5 28 37 -
J. Simon * 40 0-0 0-0 0-0 11 9 0 1 1 11 31 -
T. Owens * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 2 0 5 3 7 18 -
B. Ahmed * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 3 0 2 16 22 -
M. Clark II * 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 8 10 -
K. Yakwe 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 1 4 4 -
B. Trimble Jr. 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 3 7 -

Saint Joseph's Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Taylor Funk * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 15 16 -
Pierfrancesco Oliva * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 18 4 0 0 2 7 27 -
Chris Clover * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 0 4 3 5 -
James Demery * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 2 0 0 3 15 21 -
Nick Robinson * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 2 0 0 5 7 11 -
Shavar Newkirk 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 1 0 1 26 30 -
A. LongprΓ© 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 2 0 2 -
Jai Williams 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter