Model Predictions
| Model | Southern Utah Thunderbirds | Oregon State Beavers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.5% | 87.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.5% | 73.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.9% | 94.1% | +15.2 | ✓ (1.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 27.7% | 72.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 2.8% | 97.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 2.7% | 97.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 21.2% | 78.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oregon State Beavers +17 (99-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Southern Utah Thunderbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jadon Cohee * | 36 | 4-13 | 0-3 | 13-18 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 7 | - |
| Dre Marin * | 32 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | - |
| James McGee * | 32 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 7-9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Christian Musoko * | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | - |
| Jamal Aytes * | 11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Jacob Calloway | 27 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 5-7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Jamil Jackson | 20 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Brandon Better | 19 | 7-11 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 6 | - |
| Joel Swallow | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Elijah Graves | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
Oregon State Beavers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Thompson * | 38 | 7-14 | 2-5 | 4-7 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 24 | - |
| Stephen Thompson * | 30 | 6-11 | 0-3 | 4-7 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Jaquori McLaughlin * | 27 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Tres Tinkle * | 27 | 8-11 | 2-3 | 6-6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 20 | - |
| Kendal Manuel | 21 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Alfred Hollins | 14 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Zach Reichle | 12 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Seth Berger | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Tanner Sanders | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Xavier Smith | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter