Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Cougars | SMU Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 85.5% | 14.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 77.6% | 22.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 84.9% | 15.1% | -9.5 | ✓ (3.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.0% | 39.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 80.1% | 19.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 80.2% | 19.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: SMU Mustangs -13 (56-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Robinson Jr. * | 38 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 16 | - |
| C. Davis Jr. * | 38 | 6-17 | 5-15 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 5 | - |
| R. Gray * | 35 | 8-18 | 1-7 | 2-3 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 9 | - |
| Devin Davis * | 20 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Breaon Brady * | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Armoni Brooks | 31 | 4-9 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 12 | - |
| F. White Jr. | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Chris Harris | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Nura Zanna | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Gabe Grant | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jahmal McMurray * | 39 | 6-11 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 5 | - |
| Jimmy Whitt * | 36 | 1-8 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Elijah Landrum * | 32 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Ben Emelogu * | 30 | 6-11 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 5 | - |
| Akoy Agau * | 20 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 4 | - |
| William Douglas | 24 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Ethan Chargois | 18 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 4-8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| James Pyle | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter