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2018-02-24

Model Predictions

Model Wichita State Shockers SMU Mustangs Spread Result
Elo 16.4% 83.6% -
Bradley-Terry 49.2% 50.8% -
Margin 34.4% 65.6% +3.5 (9.5 off)
Pythagorean 66.1% 33.9% -
Efficiency 87.2% 12.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 80.7% 19.3% -
Log Adjusted 80.7% 19.3% -

Actual: SMU Mustangs -6 (78-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Wichita State Shockers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Reaves * 38 4-10 3-7 0-1 5 2 0 0 1 11 7 -
L. Shamet * 27 2-7 2-6 4-4 2 4 1 0 2 10 8 -
S. Morris * 23 6-8 1-1 8-10 10 1 0 1 1 21 24 -
R. Kelly * 23 0-2 0-0 2-2 7 2 0 1 1 2 9 -
Z. Brown * 15 0-3 0-0 0-0 1 4 0 0 2 0 0 -
M. McDuffie 25 11-14 3-6 1-1 1 1 2 0 4 26 12 -
C. Frankamp 21 3-6 2-4 4-4 1 3 1 1 1 12 11 -
D. Willis Jr. 16 1-5 0-0 0-0 8 0 0 0 3 2 2 -
R. Nurger 10 0-1 0-0 0-1 1 2 0 0 0 0 2 -
C.J. Keyser 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

SMU Mustangs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. McMurray * 39 8-18 6-13 6-6 1 2 1 0 3 28 11 -
B. Emelogu II * 39 2-6 2-5 1-2 6 1 2 0 0 7 10 -
J. Whitt Jr. * 35 4-12 1-3 7-8 5 6 0 1 3 16 13 -
E. Landrum * 24 2-3 2-3 0-0 1 2 1 0 2 6 5 -
A. Agau * 19 2-3 1-2 3-5 2 0 0 0 2 8 5 -
W. Douglas 23 3-6 3-4 0-1 4 2 0 0 1 9 8 -
E. Chargois 21 2-3 0-1 0-0 2 2 3 0 0 4 8 -

* = starter