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2018-02-06

Model Predictions

Model Wichita State Shockers Memphis Tigers Spread Result
Elo 12.3% 87.7% -
Bradley-Terry 34.3% 65.7% -
Margin 26.0% 74.0% +5.8 (25.8 off)
Pythagorean 84.5% 15.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 89.7% 10.3% -
Log Adjusted 89.8% 10.2% -

Actual: Memphis Tigers -20 (65-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Wichita State Shockers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Shamet * 33 7-11 4-7 2-2 1 5 1 0 0 20 16 -
A. Reaves * 32 6-10 5-9 5-5 6 1 0 0 2 22 17 -
Z. Brown * 26 2-6 1-4 6-6 3 4 4 0 1 11 15 -
R. Kelly * 17 2-4 0-1 1-4 7 2 1 0 2 5 9 -
S. Morris * 16 2-8 0-1 1-1 4 2 1 1 0 5 5 -
D. Willis Jr. 24 5-11 0-2 3-6 12 2 0 1 1 13 16 -
M. McDuffie 18 1-4 1-3 2-2 1 0 0 0 2 5 0 -
R. Nurger 17 2-4 0-1 0-0 3 0 1 1 0 4 5 -
C. Frankamp 13 0-5 0-3 0-0 0 2 1 0 0 0 -2 -
B. Barney 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
S. Haynes-Jones 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
K. Malone 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
C.J. Keyser 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Memphis Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Martin * 34 2-10 0-5 12-14 4 2 1 0 5 16 8 -
J. Johnson * 18 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
J. Rivers * 15 0-2 0-0 3-4 3 1 0 1 3 3 3 -
M. Parks Jr. * 12 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 2 0 -
K. Davenport * 9 2-4 0-2 0-1 1 0 0 0 0 4 1 -
R. Thornton 29 5-6 1-2 0-1 4 0 1 0 2 11 8 -
K. Brewton Jr. 28 4-7 0-1 4-5 3 4 2 0 3 12 11 -
D. Nickelberry 28 3-7 1-2 1-1 4 2 0 1 1 8 7 -
K. Sameh Azab 17 2-3 0-0 1-3 3 2 0 1 1 5 7 -
V. Enoh 10 1-1 0-0 2-2 2 0 1 1 0 4 7 -

* = starter