Model Predictions
| Model | East Carolina Pirates | SMU Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.1% | 89.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 18.6% | 81.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.3% | 97.7% | +20.5 | ✓ (4.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 18.8% | 81.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 14.1% | 85.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: SMU Mustangs +25 (86-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
East Carolina Pirates
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B.J. Tyson * | 38 | 3-12 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Shawn Williams * | 38 | 5-14 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 2 | - |
| Isaac Fleming * | 34 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 4-4 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 17 | 8 | - |
| Dimitrije Spasojevic * | 19 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Kentrell Barkley * | 9 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| K.J. Davis | 17 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Justin Whatley | 13 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Usman Haruna | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Addison Hill | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Whitt * | 36 | 9-11 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 18 | - |
| Jahmal McMurray * | 35 | 8-12 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 14 | - |
| Shake Milton * | 31 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 15 | - |
| Ben Emelogu * | 27 | 5-10 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 5 | - |
| Ethan Chargois * | 26 | 6-9 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 15 | - |
| William Douglas | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Akoy Agau | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Elijah Landrum | 11 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Luke Wilfong | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| James Pyle | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter