Model Predictions
| Model | South Florida Bulls | Wichita State Shockers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 1.1% | 98.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 7.8% | 92.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.9% | 94.1% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 24.2% | 75.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 0.5% | 99.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 0.4% | 99.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 7.6% | 92.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Wichita State Shockers +38 (95-57). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
South Florida Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephan Jiggetts * | 35 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -4 | -28.5 |
| Justin Brown * | 33 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | -14.5 |
| Malik Martin * | 31 | 6-9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 13 | -5.1 |
| Terrence Samuel * | 31 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 6-8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 2 | -25.4 |
| Isaiah Manderson * | 14 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -4 | -16.1 |
| David Collins | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Tulio Da Silva | 17 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -3 | -20.1 |
| Nikola Scekic | 17 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | -3.5 |
Wichita State Shockers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Landry Shamet * | 22 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | +22.4 |
| Rashard Kelly * | 21 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4-10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | +13.7 |
| Zach Brown * | 20 | 5-5 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 15 | +11.1 |
| Austin Reaves * | 20 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 12 | +4.5 |
| Shaquille Morris * | 18 | 7-9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 14 | +8.7 |
| Markis McDuffie | 20 | 4-5 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 15 | +8.6 |
| Darral Willis Jr. | 17 | 5-8 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | +8.8 |
| Samajae Haynes-Jones | 16 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 4 | +1.6 |
| C.J. Keyser | 15 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | +21.4 |
| Rauno Nurger | 14 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 8 | +13.1 |
| Asbjorn Midtgaard | 8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | -1.3 |
| Kaelen Malone | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3.4 |
| Brett Barney | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -2.0 |
| Brycen Bush | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.0 |
* = starter