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2018-01-04

Model Predictions

Model Houston Cougars Wichita State Shockers Spread Result
Elo 95.5% 4.5% -
Bradley-Terry 72.8% 27.2% -
Margin 86.6% 13.4% -10.2 (28.2 off)
Pythagorean 41.2% 58.8% -
Efficiency 7.0% 93.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 45.9% 54.1% -
Log Adjusted 46.1% 53.9% -

Actual: Wichita State Shockers +18 (81-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Houston Cougars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Davis Jr. * 30 4-7 2-4 2-2 2 5 0 0 1 12 11 -
R. Gray * 26 6-14 1-3 0-0 0 1 1 0 2 13 -1 -
D. Davis * 21 2-4 0-0 3-4 5 0 1 0 4 7 5 -
G. Robinson Jr. * 21 3-9 0-1 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 6 0 -
C. Harris Jr. * 17 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 0 0 -
F. White Jr. 23 2-5 0-0 1-3 1 1 1 1 0 5 4 -
A. Brooks 19 2-9 0-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 4 -3 -
W. VanBeck 17 2-3 1-2 6-6 6 0 0 0 1 11 13 -
V. Sangoyomi 15 1-2 0-0 1-2 6 1 0 0 2 3 6 -
G. Grant 6 1-2 0-1 0-2 1 0 0 2 0 2 3 -
N. Zanna 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 0 3 -

Wichita State Shockers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Kelly * 27 0-4 0-1 3-4 2 3 1 0 0 3 5 -
Z. Brown * 23 1-3 1-3 2-3 7 5 1 0 1 5 14 -
L. Shamet * 22 6-8 2-4 4-4 1 3 1 0 1 18 14 -
C. Frankamp * 21 6-7 3-4 0-0 1 2 1 0 0 15 12 -
S. Morris * 20 5-8 2-2 2-4 6 1 0 0 1 14 12 -
A. Reaves 19 2-4 1-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 5 3 -
S. Haynes-Jones 17 0-5 0-1 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 1 -2 -
M. McDuffie 13 3-7 2-4 3-3 0 0 1 0 2 11 3 -
D. Willis Jr. 13 1-5 0-2 0-0 5 2 0 1 1 2 4 -
R. Nurger 13 1-2 1-2 2-2 2 1 0 0 0 5 6 -
C.J. Keyser 8 1-5 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
A. Midtgaard 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter