Model Predictions
| Model | Memphis Tigers | UCF Knights | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.7% | 65.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.4% | 59.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.9% | 75.1% | +6.1 | ✓ (2.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 29.4% | 70.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 29.6% | 70.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.8% | 63.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UCF Knights +9 (65-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Memphis Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremiah Martin * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Raynere Thornton * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 17 | - |
| Mike Parks * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| J. Johnson * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Kyvon Davenport * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 17 | - |
| Kareem Brewton | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 20 | - |
| Victor Enoh | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| David Nickelberry | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Karim Sameh Azab | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Jimario Rivers | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terrell Allen * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 16 | - |
| Ceasar DeJesus * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 14 | - |
| A.J. Davis * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 31 | - |
| Tacko Fall * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Djordjije Mumin * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Dayon Griffin | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 20 | - |
| Chad Brown | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | - |
| Myles Douglas | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter