Model Predictions
| Model | Grambling Tigers | East Carolina Pirates | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.1% | 43.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 33.7% | 66.3% | +3.7 | ✓ (4.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 63.4% | 36.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 33.4% | 66.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 32.8% | 67.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: East Carolina Pirates +8 (76-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Grambling Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Axel Mpoyo * | 37 | 2-10 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Anthony Gaston * | 35 | 3-12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Shirmane Thomas * | 32 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 0-4 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Ivy Smith * | 32 | 7-13 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 20 | 14 | - |
| Jason Perry-Murray * | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Devante Jackson | 28 | 8-15 | 2-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 8 | - |
| Drake Wilks | 16 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Kareem Wright | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Bobby Jackson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
East Carolina Pirates
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B.J. Tyson * | 38 | 7-12 | 2-4 | 4-6 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 16 | - |
| Isaac Fleming * | 38 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 8-11 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 18 | 9 | - |
| Dimitrije Spasojevic * | 26 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 6-11 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 18 | - |
| Jabari Craig * | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Shawn Williams | 33 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | - |
| K.J. Davis | 17 | 2-8 | 0-4 | 3-8 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Usman Haruna | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | - |
| Justice Obasohan | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
* = starter