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2017-12-12

Model Predictions

Model SE Louisiana Lions UCF Knights Spread Result
Elo 29.1% 70.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 33.6% 66.4% - โœ“
Margin 11.5% 88.5% +11.2 โœ“ (3.2 off)
Pythagorean 44.4% 55.6% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 7.1% 92.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 6.8% 93.2% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 28.3% 71.7% - โœ“

Actual: UCF Knights +8 (61-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.

SE Louisiana Lions

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Marlain Veal * 34 2-10 1-3 5-7 7 5 1 0 2 10 11 -
Joshua Filmore * 29 2-7 2-5 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 6 2 -
James Currington * 25 5-11 0-0 0-0 2 0 3 2 0 10 6 -
Keith Charleston * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 4 2 0 3 0 5 -
Moses Greenwood * 19 2-3 0-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 4 2 -
Eddy Polanco 28 3-8 2-5 0-0 4 2 0 1 3 8 4 -
Jordan Capps 23 2-8 1-5 3-6 5 0 1 0 2 8 4 -
Jabbar Singleton 17 3-5 1-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 7 3 -
D'Angelo West 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

UCF Knights

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Terrell Allen * 37 3-6 0-1 6-7 3 2 2 0 4 12 9 -
Ceasar DeJesus * 33 3-7 1-2 2-4 4 3 0 0 1 9 8 -
A.J. Davis * 31 6-10 1-4 0-1 7 0 1 0 0 13 11 -
Tacko Fall * 30 8-10 0-0 3-4 11 0 0 5 2 19 23 -
Djordjije Mumin * 13 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 0 0 -
Dayon Griffin 23 0-9 0-5 2-2 3 0 1 0 1 2 -4 -
Chance McSpadden 14 1-3 0-1 2-2 1 0 0 0 1 4 1 -
Chad Brown 8 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 2 2 1 -
Myles Douglas 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Nathan Laing 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Rokas Ulvydas 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -

* = starter