Model Predictions
| Model | SMU Mustangs | TCU Horned Frogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.1% | 77.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.2% | 74.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.7% | 84.3% | +9.2 | ✓ (1.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.3% | 52.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 23.2% | 76.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 23.3% | 76.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.2% | 68.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: TCU Horned Frogs +11 (94-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jarrey Foster * | 40 | 7-9 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 20 | - |
| Shake Milton * | 40 | 6-15 | 1-8 | 5-6 | 2 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 14 | - |
| Ben Emelogu * | 35 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 3-5 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Ethan Chargois * | 28 | 8-13 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 15 | - |
| Jimmy Whitt * | 16 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Elijah Landrum | 14 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | - |
| Everett Ray | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| William Douglas | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Akoy Agau | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
TCU Horned Frogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenrich Williams * | 40 | 7-8 | 5-6 | 8-10 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 27 | 30 | - |
| Jaylen Fisher * | 38 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 7-8 | 1 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Desmond Bane * | 35 | 4-10 | 3-8 | 3-4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 11 | - |
| JD Miller * | 25 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Vladimir Brodziansky * | 20 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Ahmed Hamdy Mohamed | 18 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Kouat Noi | 17 | 3-4 | 3-3 | 7-8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 17 | - |
| Shawn Olden | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| RJ Nembhard | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter