Model Predictions
| Model | USC Trojans | SMU Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 59.7% | 40.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 67.6% | 32.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 44.3% | 55.7% | +1.3 | ✓ (15.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.9% | 49.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 39.9% | 60.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 22.9% | 77.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 22.9% | 77.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: SMU Mustangs +17 (72-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.
USC Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. McLaughlin * | 35 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 13 | - |
| B. Boatwright * | 33 | 3-9 | 0-4 | 2-4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 8 | - |
| C. Metu * | 32 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 12 | - |
| E. Stewart * | 31 | 4-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| J. Mathews * | 29 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 1 | - |
| S. Aaron | 19 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| N. Rakocevic | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | - |
| J. Usher | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| C. O'Bannon Jr. | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| V. Uyaelunmo | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| H. Henderson | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Pyle | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| E. Ray | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| E. Landrum | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| L. Wilfong | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Milton * | 40 | 6-11 | 4-7 | 6-10 | 5 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 21 | - |
| J. Foster * | 40 | 6-13 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 14 | - |
| B. Emelogu II * | 40 | 6-7 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 16 | - |
| J. Whitt Jr. * | 36 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 7 | - |
| E. Chargois * | 25 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 2-6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| W. Douglas | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| A. Agau | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
* = starter