Model Predictions
| Model | Little Rock Trojans | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.2% | 78.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 7.4% | 92.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 0.3% | 99.7% | +32.0 | ✓ (6.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 28.4% | 71.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs +38 (86-48). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Little Rock Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Townson | 34 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| K. Collier | 30 | 4-13 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 11 | -2 | - |
| T. Moore | 28 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| R. DeGray | 27 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -2 | - |
| R. DeGray | 27 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | - |
| T. Lasker | 16 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Keys | 15 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| K. Shepard | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| T. Battle | 7 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Y. Inkina | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| S. Chastain | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Hurlburt | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. William | 28 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 11 | - |
| B. Schaefer | 27 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 2 | - |
| V. Vivians | 24 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 15 | - |
| R. Johnson | 24 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Z. Campbell | 21 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| C. Bibby | 16 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 12 | - |
| T. McCowan | 16 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 16 | - |
| J. Danberry | 13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| J. Holmes | 12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -1 | - |
| B. Scott | 8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| N. Tate | 8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -1 | - |
| J. Garvin | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter