Model Predictions
| Model | Virginia Cavaliers | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 5.1% | 94.9% | +19.6 | ✓ (4.6 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 11.5% | 88.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.4% | 98.6% | +23.4 | ✓ (8.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.5% | 67.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 10.6% | 89.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs +15 (68-53). Ratings: 2017-18 season-end ratings.
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J'Kyra Brown * | 32 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | -5 | - |
| F. Aiyeotan * | 29 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11 | - |
| D. Toussaint * | 24 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 6-7 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 17 | 9 | - |
| J. Willoughby * | 20 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| L. Moses * | 18 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| A. Huland El | 21 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Moné Jones | 19 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| B. Tinsley | 18 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 2 | - |
| L. Jablonowski | 17 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| K. Caldwell | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| V. Vivians * | 37 | 8-15 | 3-9 | 3-3 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 14 | - |
| T. McCowan * | 30 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 7 | - |
| M. William * | 29 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | - |
| R. Johnson * | 28 | 6-15 | 4-10 | 2-3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 6 | - |
| B. Schaefer * | 18 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| C. Bibby | 29 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 8 | - |
| A. Williams-Holliday | 15 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Jazzmun Holmes | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| J. Garvin | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Scott | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| N. Tate | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter