Model Predictions
| Model | Auburn Tigers | Arkansas Razorbacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.1% | 42.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 60.6% | 39.4% | -2.4 | ✗ (11.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.0% | 46.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 56.9% | 43.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 74.8% | 25.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 74.7% | 25.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks +9 (91-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Auburn Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Okeke | 31 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 13 | - |
| M. Dunbar | 15 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | - |
| J. Harper * | 36 | 4-11 | 1-7 | 11-11 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 14 | - |
| M. Heron * | 35 | 8-21 | 3-7 | 9-11 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 16 | - |
| B. Brown * | 32 | 4-13 | 0-6 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | -1 | - |
| D. Murray * | 21 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| H. Spencer * | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| D. Mitchell | 17 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| M. Dunbar | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 5 | - |
| C. Blackstock | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Arkansas Razorbacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Plummer | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Holmes | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Barford * | 32 | 5-18 | 3-9 | 7-8 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 14 | - |
| A. Beard * | 32 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 6-9 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 13 | - |
| D. Macon * | 26 | 6-7 | 4-4 | 0-2 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 17 | - |
| T. Thompson * | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| D. Thomas * | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| D. Gafford | 27 | 10-15 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 21 | 22 | - |
| A. Cook | 20 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| C.J. Jones | 19 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| D. Hall | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| A. Bailey | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| G. Osabuohien | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter