Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas Razorbacks | Alabama Crimson Tide | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.8% | 66.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.6% | 51.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 46.8% | 53.2% | +0.7 | ✗ (3.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 56.9% | 43.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 57.0% | 43.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Alabama Crimson Tide -3 (73-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arkansas Razorbacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anton Beard * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Daryl Macon * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 26 | - |
| Jaylen Barford * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Daniel Gafford * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 19 | - |
| Dustin Thomas * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 15 | - |
| Trey Thompson | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 11 | - |
| C.J. Jones | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Adrio Bailey | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Darious Hall | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Arlando Cook | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Gabe Osabuohien | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
Alabama Crimson Tide
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Collin Sexton * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 22 | - |
| Dazon Ingram * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 17 | - |
| John Petty * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 16 | - |
| Donta Hall * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 16 | - |
| Braxton Key * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 23 | - |
| Herb Jones | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Alex Reese | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Daniel Giddens | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Avery Johnson | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
* = starter