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2018-02-17

Model Predictions

Model Texas A&M Aggies Arkansas Razorbacks Spread Result
Elo 74.4% 25.6% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 44.5% 55.5% - โœ“
Margin 35.6% 64.4% +3.3 โœ“ (15.7 off)
Pythagorean 42.0% 58.0% - โœ“
Efficiency 27.2% 72.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 53.7% 46.3% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 53.9% 46.1% - โœ—

Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks +19 (94-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Texas A&M Aggies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Robert Williams * 32 10-13 0-0 0-1 14 1 0 3 1 20 24 -
Admon Gilder * 30 6-10 2-3 6-7 3 2 3 0 0 20 18 -
D.J. Hogg * 30 0-6 0-5 0-0 1 3 3 0 2 0 -1 -
Tyler Davis * 28 2-5 0-0 11-17 7 4 0 1 2 15 20 -
TJ Starks * 24 4-9 0-2 4-6 0 2 0 0 5 12 0 -
Savion Flagg 20 1-7 1-4 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 3 -4 -
Tonny Trocha-Morelos 17 0-2 0-2 2-4 1 1 0 2 1 2 3 -
Chris Collins 12 1-1 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 3 4 -
Isiah Jasey 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 1 -
J. Chandler 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -

Arkansas Razorbacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaylen Barford * 32 7-18 4-10 3-4 5 5 1 0 1 21 13 -
Daniel Gafford * 28 7-8 0-0 4-6 6 2 1 2 2 18 19 -
Anton Beard * 27 2-8 1-3 0-2 1 5 0 0 1 5 2 -
Daryl Macon * 24 7-12 4-6 2-2 3 3 0 0 1 20 13 -
Dustin Thomas * 19 3-4 0-0 1-2 3 0 1 0 2 7 5 -
C.J. Jones 18 5-7 1-2 2-3 2 0 1 0 0 13 9 -
Darious Hall 17 0-2 0-1 2-2 7 1 0 0 0 2 8 -
Gabe Osabuohien 15 3-6 0-1 0-1 3 1 1 1 1 6 5 -
Trey Thompson 15 1-5 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
Adrio Bailey 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Arlando Cook 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
Jonathan Holmes 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter