Model Predictions
| Model | Texas A&M Aggies | Arkansas Razorbacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 74.4% | 25.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 35.6% | 64.4% | +3.3 | ✓ (15.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.0% | 58.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 27.2% | 72.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.7% | 46.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 53.9% | 46.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks +19 (94-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Texas A&M Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Williams III * | 32 | 10-13 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 20 | 24 | - |
| A. Gilder * | 30 | 6-10 | 2-3 | 6-7 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 18 | - |
| D.J. Hogg * | 30 | 0-6 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| T. Davis * | 28 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 11-17 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 20 | - |
| TJ Starks * | 24 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 0 | - |
| S. Flagg | 20 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -4 | - |
| T. Trocha-Morelos | 17 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| C. Collins | 12 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| I. Jasey | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Chandler | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
Arkansas Razorbacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Barford * | 32 | 7-18 | 4-10 | 3-4 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 13 | - |
| D. Gafford * | 28 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 19 | - |
| A. Beard * | 27 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| D. Macon * | 24 | 7-12 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 13 | - |
| D. Thomas * | 19 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| C.J. Jones | 18 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 9 | - |
| D. Hall | 17 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| G. Osabuohien | 15 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| T. Thompson | 15 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| A. Bailey | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Cook | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Holmes | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter