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2018-02-10

Model Predictions

Model Tennessee Volunteers Alabama Crimson Tide Spread Result
Elo 21.6% 78.4% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 52.4% 47.6% - โœ—
Margin 38.6% 61.4% +2.6 โœ“ (25.4 off)
Pythagorean 46.6% 53.4% - โœ“
Efficiency 60.1% 39.9% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 31.7% 68.3% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 31.7% 68.3% - โœ“

Actual: Alabama Crimson Tide +28 (78-50). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Tennessee Volunteers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jordan Bowden * 27 2-10 1-4 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 5 -3 -
Grant Williams * 24 5-12 0-1 6-7 4 1 0 1 1 16 9 -
Admiral Schofield * 23 2-8 1-3 2-4 7 0 1 0 2 7 5 -
Kyle Alexander * 14 1-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
Jordan Bone * 14 1-5 0-1 0-0 0 2 1 0 1 2 -1 -
Lamonte Turner 24 1-4 1-3 2-3 1 1 1 0 3 5 1 -
Jalen Johnson 17 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 2 2 -
Derrick Walker 15 2-3 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 2 1 4 9 -
John Fulkerson 13 0-1 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 1 2 -
James Daniel 13 1-5 1-4 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 3 0 -
Yves Pons 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
Chris Darrington 8 0-3 0-0 3-4 0 0 0 0 1 3 -1 -

Alabama Crimson Tide

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Donta Hall * 27 8-10 0-0 1-4 11 1 2 3 0 17 24 -
John Petty * 27 4-7 3-4 3-4 2 4 0 2 2 14 13 -
Dazon Ingram * 25 3-5 0-1 0-0 4 2 1 0 1 6 7 -
Collin Sexton * 24 6-10 1-3 3-4 5 4 0 0 2 16 13 -
Daniel Giddens * 14 1-2 0-0 0-0 6 0 2 0 2 2 6 -
Braxton Key 24 4-7 0-2 0-1 4 1 0 0 1 8 5 -
Herb Jones 17 3-7 1-2 0-0 2 2 3 0 0 7 7 -
Avery Johnson 16 0-4 0-1 2-2 2 1 0 0 2 2 -1 -
Alex Reese 12 2-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 4 1 -
Galin Smith 12 1-1 0-0 0-1 0 0 0 2 0 2 3 -
Tyler Barnes 2 0-0 0-0 0-2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter