Model Predictions
| Model | Kentucky Wildcats | Missouri Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 69.1% | 30.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.8% | 35.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 73.2% | 26.8% | -5.5 | ✗ (14.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 67.2% | 32.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Missouri Tigers +9 (69-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Kentucky Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 35 | 5-16 | 0-3 | 5-5 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 7 | - |
| P.J. Washington * | 30 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Kevin Knox * | 25 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Hamidou Diallo * | 22 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Nick Richards * | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Quade Green | 23 | 2-11 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -3 | - |
| Sacha Killeya-Jones | 21 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Wenyen Gabriel | 18 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Jarred Vanderbilt | 16 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 15 | - |
Missouri Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kassius Robertson * | 39 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 8-8 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Jordan Barnett * | 38 | 4-10 | 2-7 | 6-7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Kevin Puryear * | 24 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Jeremiah Tilmon * | 22 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 14 | - |
| Cullen VanLeer * | 19 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Jontay Porter | 26 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 3-6 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 18 | - |
| Jordan Geist | 23 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Reed Nikko | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
* = starter