Model Predictions
| Model | LSU Tigers | Auburn Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.5% | 82.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.9% | 62.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.5% | 86.5% | +10.2 | ✓ (14.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 26.6% | 73.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 7.7% | 92.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 9.4% | 90.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 9.5% | 90.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Auburn Tigers +25 (95-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
LSU Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Skylar Mays * | 33 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Randy Onwuasor * | 28 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 16 | - |
| Duop Reath * | 27 | 7-12 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 7 | - |
| Tremont Waters * | 18 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | -7 | - |
| Aaron Epps * | 16 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Daryl Edwards | 22 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Brandon Sampson | 19 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Wayde Sims | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Brandon Rachal | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Mayan Kiir | 6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Galen Alexander | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Reed Vial | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Marshall Graves | 3 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
Auburn Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chuma Okeke | 19 | 6-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Malik Dunbar | 17 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Jared Harper * | 28 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 4-5 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Bryce Brown * | 27 | 5-13 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Mustapha Heron * | 27 | 8-10 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 20 | - |
| DeSean Murray * | 20 | 7-9 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 21 | - |
| Anfernee McLemore * | 18 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Davion Mitchell | 21 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Malik Dunbar | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Horace Spencer | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Patrick Keim | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Will Macoy | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Brett Easterling | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Thomas Collier | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Cole Blackstock | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Devontae Williams | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter