Model Predictions
| Model | Alabama Crimson Tide | LSU Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 54.5% | 45.5% | -2.9 | ✓ (5.1 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 43.9% | 56.1% | +1.4 | ✗ (9.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.4% | 53.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: LSU Tigers -8 (66-74). Ratings: 2017-18 season-end ratings.
Alabama Crimson Tide
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Collin Sexton * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 15 | 17 | - |
| Dazon Ingram * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 34 | - |
| Herb Jones * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 11 | - |
| Braxton Key * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Daniel Giddens * | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Galin Smith | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 13 | - |
| John Petty Jr. | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Alex Reese | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Avery Johnson Jr. | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
LSU Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tremont Waters * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 29 | - |
| Aaron Epps * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 23 | - |
| Duop Reath * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Skylar Mays * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Daryl Edwards * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Brandon Sampson | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Brandon Rachal | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Randy Onwuasor | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Wayde Sims | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter