Model Predictions
| Model | Auburn Tigers | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.1% | 37.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.8% | 61.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 69.8% | 30.2% | -4.6 | ✓ (3.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 78.5% | 21.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 87.5% | 12.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 89.7% | 10.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 89.6% | 10.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs -8 (68-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Auburn Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Okeke | 17 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| M. Dunbar | 11 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| B. Brown * | 33 | 6-13 | 5-8 | 6-8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 14 | - |
| J. Harper * | 29 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 7-7 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 12 | - |
| M. Heron * | 29 | 5-13 | 0-4 | 4-6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 5 | - |
| D. Murray * | 26 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 7-8 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 16 | - |
| A. McLemore * | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| H. Spencer | 25 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - |
| D. Mitchell | 18 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| M. Dunbar | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q. Weatherspoon * | 33 | 5-13 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 7 | - |
| A. Ado * | 31 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 19 | - |
| A. Holman * | 29 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 8 | - |
| N. Weatherspoon * | 28 | 3-10 | 0-3 | 4-6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - |
| T. Carter * | 23 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | - |
| L. Peters | 21 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 5 | - |
| X. Stapleton | 19 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 4-6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| E. Wright | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| E.J. Datcher | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
* = starter