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2018-01-13

Model Predictions

Model Kentucky Wildcats Vanderbilt Commodores Spread Result
Elo 29.4% 70.6% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 76.8% 23.2% - โœ“
Margin 73.5% 26.5% -5.6 โœ“ (1.4 off)
Pythagorean 72.3% 27.7% - โœ“
Efficiency 86.3% 13.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 83.3% 16.7% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 83.4% 16.6% - โœ“

Actual: Vanderbilt Commodores -7 (67-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * 39 7-11 1-1 7-10 4 6 0 0 3 22 18 -
Hamidou Diallo * 39 2-7 1-2 5-8 3 1 0 2 1 10 8 -
P.J. Washington * 38 2-4 1-1 5-8 8 2 0 0 4 10 12 -
Kevin Knox * 28 5-9 0-2 7-7 4 1 1 0 1 17 13 -
Nick Richards * 12 2-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 2 1 4 6 -
Wenyen Gabriel 29 3-8 0-4 1-4 9 1 1 2 1 7 11 -
Sacha Killeya-Jones 15 2-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 1 0 4 6 -

Vanderbilt Commodores

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jeff Roberson * 38 6-12 2-7 6-6 7 1 0 0 0 20 16 -
Saben Lee * 31 4-10 1-3 3-4 3 3 2 0 3 12 7 -
Riley LaChance * 27 3-7 0-4 0-4 2 4 0 0 1 6 4 -
Djery Baptiste * 21 0-2 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 2 1 2 5 -
Matthew Fisher-Davis * 16 2-6 0-3 5-5 3 0 1 0 0 9 7 -
Payton Willis 22 3-7 2-6 0-0 3 3 2 0 1 8 8 -
Joe Toye 21 1-6 0-1 2-3 1 0 0 0 0 4 -1 -
Clevon Brown 17 2-3 1-1 0-1 4 0 1 2 0 5 9 -
Maxwell Evans 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Ejike Obinna 3 0-1 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 -

* = starter