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2018-01-10

Model Predictions

Model LSU Tigers Arkansas Razorbacks Spread Result
Elo 28.6% 71.4% -
Bradley-Terry 37.1% 62.9% -
Margin 28.4% 71.6% +5.1 (26.1 off)
Pythagorean 32.8% 67.2% -
Efficiency 12.1% 87.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 30.2% 69.8% -
Log Adjusted 30.4% 69.6% -

Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks -21 (54-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

LSU Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Waters * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 8 0 0 2 8 19 -
S. Mays * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 3 1 0 0 12 17 -
D. Reath * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 2 5 11 15 -
D. Edwards * 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 2 4 -
A. Epps * 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 11 3 0 0 1 13 26 -
W. Sims 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 1 0 8 12 -
R. Onwuasor 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 12 17 -
B. Rachal 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 6 5 -
B. Sampson 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 3 7 -
G. Alexander 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
R. Vial 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Graves 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Arkansas Razorbacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Macon * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 4 0 0 3 9 14 -
J. Barford * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 1 2 17 21 -
A. Beard * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 3 -
D. Gafford * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 1 3 2 8 17 -
A. Bailey * 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 1 1 -
D. Hall 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 1 5 10 -
T. Thompson 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 1 0 8 16 -
C.J. Jones 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 4 3 -
A. Cook 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 0 4 -
D. Thomas 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter