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2018-01-09

Model Predictions

Model Ole Miss Rebels Auburn Tigers Spread Result
Elo 19.5% 80.5% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 13.7% 86.3% - โœ“
Margin 10.0% 90.0% +12.1 โœ“ (2.9 off)
Pythagorean 31.6% 68.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 12.9% 87.1% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 12.9% 87.1% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 25.1% 74.9% - โœ“

Actual: Auburn Tigers +15 (85-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Ole Miss Rebels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Breein Tyree * 38 7-18 4-10 6-6 0 4 2 0 3 24 9 -
Terence Davis * 32 3-9 1-5 6-10 10 0 0 1 1 13 14 -
Devontae Shuler * 29 2-12 0-5 1-3 8 1 0 0 3 5 -1 -
Marcanvis Hymon * 13 0-1 0-0 0-1 0 1 0 1 1 0 0 -
Bruce Stevens * 12 3-5 2-3 4-4 1 0 0 0 0 12 8 -
Dominik Olejniczak 30 5-7 0-0 0-0 10 0 3 1 1 10 16 -
Markel Crawford 30 2-10 1-4 1-3 7 1 0 0 2 6 2 -
Justas Furmanavicius 16 0-3 0-2 0-0 2 1 1 1 1 0 1 -

Auburn Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Chuma Okeke 11 1-3 0-1 0-0 4 2 1 0 1 2 5 -
Malik Dunbar 11 0-2 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 1 1 0 1 -
Bryce Brown * 33 4-14 3-9 2-2 4 2 2 0 0 13 7 -
Jared Harper * 30 3-6 2-3 4-5 2 4 0 1 2 12 11 -
DeSean Murray * 29 2-5 0-1 12-15 8 2 0 1 3 16 19 -
Mustapha Heron * 29 5-11 0-3 5-6 5 3 1 0 2 15 11 -
Anfernee McLemore * 20 5-5 1-1 2-2 9 0 0 3 1 13 19 -
Horace Spencer 20 4-7 0-1 4-5 3 0 1 2 3 12 8 -
Davion Mitchell 17 1-3 0-2 0-2 1 3 0 0 2 2 1 -
Malik Dunbar 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 1 0 3 -

* = starter