Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas Razorbacks | Auburn Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.3% | 72.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.7% | 56.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.1% | 80.9% | +7.9 | ✓ (3.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.0% | 60.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 37.1% | 62.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 19.2% | 80.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 19.3% | 80.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Auburn Tigers +11 (88-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arkansas Razorbacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daryl Macon * | 38 | 3-11 | 0-5 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Jaylen Barford * | 33 | 8-14 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 11 | - |
| Anton Beard * | 26 | 5-12 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 0 | - |
| Daniel Gafford * | 17 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Dustin Thomas * | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Trey Thompson | 23 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Darious Hall | 21 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Adrio Bailey | 17 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Arlando Cook | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| C.J. Jones | 3 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Auburn Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chuma Okeke | 19 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Malik Dunbar | 11 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Bryce Brown * | 30 | 4-9 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 5 | - |
| Jared Harper * | 29 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 7-9 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Mustapha Heron * | 28 | 7-14 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 8 | - |
| DeSean Murray * | 26 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 18 | - |
| Anfernee McLemore * | 15 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Davion Mitchell | 23 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Horace Spencer | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - |
| Malik Dunbar | 11 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
* = starter