Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas Razorbacks | Auburn Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.3% | 72.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.7% | 56.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.1% | 80.9% | +7.9 | ✓ (3.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.0% | 60.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 37.1% | 62.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 19.2% | 80.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 19.3% | 80.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Auburn Tigers +11 (88-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arkansas Razorbacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Macon * | 38 | 3-11 | 0-5 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| J. Barford * | 33 | 8-14 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 11 | - |
| A. Beard * | 26 | 5-12 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 0 | - |
| D. Gafford * | 17 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| D. Thomas * | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | - |
| T. Thompson | 23 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 12 | - |
| D. Hall | 21 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| A. Bailey | 17 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| A. Cook | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| C.J. Jones | 3 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Auburn Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Okeke | 19 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| M. Dunbar | 11 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| B. Brown * | 30 | 4-9 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 5 | - |
| J. Harper * | 29 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 7-9 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 14 | - |
| M. Heron * | 28 | 7-14 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 8 | - |
| D. Murray * | 26 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 18 | - |
| A. McLemore * | 15 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| D. Mitchell | 23 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| H. Spencer | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - |
| M. Dunbar | 11 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
* = starter