Model Predictions
| Model | LSU Tigers | Texas A&M Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.2% | 83.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.0% | 76.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 21.5% | 78.5% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 11.5% | 88.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 11.4% | 88.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 22.8% | 77.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Texas A&M Aggies -1 (68-69). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
LSU Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tremont Waters * | 36 | 6-13 | 5-9 | 4-4 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 13 | -3.6 |
| Duop Reath * | 36 | 4-14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 5 | +4.8 |
| Skylar Mays * | 30 | 3-11 | 2-7 | 3-4 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 10 | +4.5 |
| Aaron Epps * | 27 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 13 | +2.3 |
| Daryl Edwards * | 25 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | +3.9 |
| Brandon Sampson | 18 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -10.8 |
| Brandon Rachal | 16 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | -2.3 |
| Wayde Sims | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | -4.6 |
| Mayan Kiir | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -3.8 |
| Galen Alexander | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +4.1 |
| Randy Onwuasor | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.0 |
Texas A&M Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.J. Hogg * | 36 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 5-8 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 13 | +12.5 |
| Tonny Trocha-Morelos * | 33 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 6-8 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 14 | +3.6 |
| JJ Caldwell * | 30 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 6 | +7.1 |
| Tyler Davis * | 30 | 8-14 | 0-3 | 3-5 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 14 | +3.5 |
| Savion Flagg * | 27 | 2-8 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | -4.0 |
| TJ Starks | 22 | 3-9 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | -8.1 |
| J. Chandler | 14 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | +4.5 |
| Chris Collins | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1.1 |
* = starter