Model Predictions
| Model | Kentucky Wildcats | LSU Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.8% | 35.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.1% | 42.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 64.6% | 35.4% | -3.3 | ✓ (0.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 63.3% | 36.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 80.7% | 19.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 74.7% | 25.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 74.8% | 25.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: LSU Tigers -3 (71-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Kentucky Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P.J. Washington * | 36 | 8-11 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 16 | - |
| Kevin Knox * | 35 | 7-12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Quade Green * | 31 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Hamidou Diallo * | 22 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | -2 | - |
| Nick Richards * | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | 32 | 7-16 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 8 | - |
| Wenyen Gabriel | 22 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Sacha Killeya-Jones | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
LSU Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tremont Waters * | 37 | 6-13 | 2-9 | 4-4 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 20 | - |
| Duop Reath * | 35 | 11-17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 24 | 21 | - |
| Skylar Mays * | 30 | 2-11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -1 | - |
| Aaron Epps * | 26 | 6-11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Daryl Edwards * | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Brandon Sampson | 29 | 1-7 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Wayde Sims | 18 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Randy Onwuasor | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Mayan Kiir | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
* = starter