Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas Razorbacks | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.6% | 60.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 47.5% | 52.5% | +0.5 | ✓ (2.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 73.8% | 26.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 83.5% | 16.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 75.3% | 24.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 75.2% | 24.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs +3 (78-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arkansas Razorbacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Barford * | 38 | 4-15 | 0-6 | 3-4 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Daryl Macon * | 37 | 9-12 | 5-7 | 1-3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 17 | - |
| Daniel Gafford * | 32 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Anton Beard * | 29 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Dustin Thomas * | 18 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Adrio Bailey | 18 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| C.J. Jones | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Trey Thompson | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Darious Hall | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Arlando Cook | 4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abdul Ado * | 34 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-9 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 18 | - |
| Nick Weatherspoon * | 33 | 7-10 | 1-3 | 7-10 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 22 | 22 | - |
| Quinndary Weatherspoon * | 33 | 7-13 | 2-4 | 6-8 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 20 | - |
| Tyson Carter * | 21 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Aric Holman * | 20 | 1-8 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Lamar Peters | 23 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Xavian Stapleton | 20 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Eli Wright | 10 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | - |
| E.J. Datcher | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter