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2018-01-02

Model Predictions

Model Arkansas Razorbacks Mississippi State Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 46.5% 53.5% -
Bradley-Terry 39.6% 60.4% -
Margin 47.5% 52.5% +0.5 (2.5 off)
Pythagorean 73.8% 26.2% -
Efficiency 83.5% 16.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 75.3% 24.7% -
Log Adjusted 75.2% 24.8% -

Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs +3 (78-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Arkansas Razorbacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Barford * 38 4-15 0-6 3-4 7 5 0 0 2 11 6 -
D. Macon * 37 9-12 5-7 1-3 5 2 0 0 2 24 17 -
D. Gafford * 32 8-11 0-0 1-3 5 2 0 1 3 17 11 -
A. Beard * 29 4-7 1-2 0-0 1 3 2 0 2 9 6 -
D. Thomas * 18 0-2 0-0 0-0 5 4 0 0 1 0 6 -
A. Bailey 18 5-7 0-0 0-2 6 0 1 0 0 10 10 -
C.J. Jones 10 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
T. Thompson 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 2 2 0 4 -
D. Hall 6 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
A. Cook 4 1-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 -1 -

Mississippi State Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Ado * 34 3-3 0-0 2-9 9 0 1 4 1 8 18 -
N. Weatherspoon * 33 7-10 1-3 7-10 4 2 2 2 0 22 22 -
Q. Weatherspoon * 33 7-13 2-4 6-8 7 2 3 1 2 22 20 -
T. Carter * 21 2-7 1-5 2-3 4 1 0 0 0 7 5 -
A. Holman * 20 1-8 0-4 2-2 5 0 0 0 1 4 0 -
L. Peters 23 4-9 0-3 1-2 2 3 1 0 1 9 5 -
X. Stapleton 20 1-4 0-2 4-6 4 1 1 0 1 6 7 -
E. Wright 10 0-4 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -4 -
E.J. Datcher 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 1 -

* = starter