Model Predictions
| Model | UCF Knights | Alabama Crimson Tide | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.2% | 80.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.5% | 65.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 9.2% | 90.8% | +12.6 | ✗ (15.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 12.0% | 88.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 2.2% | 97.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 2.1% | 97.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Alabama Crimson Tide -3 (62-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terrell Allen * | 40 | 6-10 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 18 | - |
| A.J. Davis * | 35 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 13 | - |
| Djordjije Mumin * | 28 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Tacko Fall * | 14 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Ceasar DeJesus * | 11 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Dayon Griffin | 32 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Rokas Ulvydas | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Chad Brown | 13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Chance McSpadden | 8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Myles Douglas | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Alabama Crimson Tide
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Petty * | 33 | 4-12 | 2-9 | 2-4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 0 | - |
| Dazon Ingram * | 33 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Collin Sexton * | 30 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 7-8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Donta Hall * | 27 | 9-9 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 20 | 20 | - |
| Riley Norris * | 21 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Herb Jones | 27 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Avery Johnson | 12 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Daniel Giddens | 9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Alex Reese | 5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Galin Smith | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter