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2017-11-19

Model Predictions

Model USC Trojans Vanderbilt Commodores Spread Result
Elo 25.9% 74.1% -
Bradley-Terry 66.5% 33.5% -
Margin 44.1% 55.9% +1.3 (5.3 off)
Pythagorean 65.1% 34.9% -
Efficiency 63.2% 36.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 61.8% 38.2% -
Log Adjusted 61.9% 38.1% -

Actual: Vanderbilt Commodores -4 (89-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.

USC Trojans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. McLaughlin * 39 12-19 5-11 6-6 2 4 2 0 2 35 22 -
J. Mathews * 37 3-5 1-2 0-0 3 1 0 1 1 7 6 -
C. Metu * 35 9-22 1-2 4-4 8 1 0 2 2 23 10 -
B. Boatwright * 34 4-9 3-7 3-4 6 1 0 0 0 14 12 -
E. Stewart * 30 3-4 1-1 2-2 5 0 1 0 0 9 11 -
S. Aaron 20 2-3 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 5 3 -
D. Thornton 13 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
N. Rakocevic 11 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 -1 -
C. O'Bannon Jr. 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
J. Usher 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Vanderbilt Commodores

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Roberson * 42 3-9 1-5 3-4 6 1 1 0 2 10 7 -
R. LaChance * 41 7-14 4-5 1-1 2 4 0 0 1 19 10 -
M. Fisher-Davis * 38 9-18 6-13 7-8 11 1 2 0 1 31 26 -
S. Lee * 13 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 2 1 -
E. Obinna * 11 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 2 -
D. Baptiste 34 2-2 0-0 5-6 7 0 0 0 1 9 13 -
L. Austin Jr. 32 5-9 0-0 3-7 4 6 0 0 2 13 12 -
J. Toye 8 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 3 2 -1 -
C. Brown 3 0-1 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 -
M. Evans 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 -
P. Willis 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter